Stainless steel demand increases element analysis
Cost angle:
1, RKEF craft is dollar of 7300 dollars ~7500 about in the cash cost of Indonesian place / ton, complete cost is in dollar of 8500 dollars ~8800 / ton between, after transferring China, totle drilling cost is in dollar of 9000 dollars ~9200 / ton, the exchange rate lowest price with current convert is 57420 yuan about / ton, cost advantage is clear. If exchange rate of RMB add dollar continues to maintain,be in existing level, and Indonesian aegis continues if add dollar depreciates, the cost advantage of the entrance still will increase.
2, come through vulcanization nickel mine the end end that the craft of smelt nickel is in cost curve at present, main benefit from benefit from accompanies this craft raw metal (wait like copper, precious metal, cobalt) cost share equally, if use wet the space that smelt cost still has next farther moving. With Nuo Li Ersi restrains nickel estate company (Norilsk Nickel) for exemple, the cost of nickel cash production of the nickel factory of its Polar area is in at present 9000 dollars / ton under, once its smeltery turned 2017 wet the plan of smelt is able to finish smoothly, the fall that produces cost to still have 20%~25% space (according to the company the report is announced) .
3, and what through oxidation nickel mine produces tall ferronickel or the craft of nickel pink is in cost curve at present is mid, use refine of laterite nickel mine among them the rotary kiln of purificatory ferronickel - mine heats up furnace (RKEF) engineering technology produces tall ferronickel, and high-pressured acidity dip is carried (the cash cost of pink of nickel of HAPL) craft production is relatively inferior, company of river valley of Brazilian fresh water is in Indonesian project is current can control cash cost even in 7000 dollars / ton around. A few small plants are like company of Sirius of business of sound of bay mine can, the cash cost of its Nova-Bollinger project is low to inadequacy 4000 dollars / ton.
4, the manufacturing cost of ferronickel of different to home technology has consideration (to approach average level more, what computation chooses is to buy reference of electrovalency, freight to connect cloud harbor to be harbor to contain duty value to price of the railroad freight rate of saline city, ore continuously) , from the point of estimation data, the manufacturing cash cost of domestic ferronickel already than before fall considerably move, the abidance of price of main ascribe ore, coke, anthracitic price drops. To RKEF craft, be like the word that uses calculation of report of provide for oneself, manufacturing cash cost is in 54060 yuan / ton (amount to becomes nickel metal) around, if be the chemical plant of an organic whole that is built around haven, cost still has next moving.
Demand angle:
From stainless steel application the industry analyses:
1, car: Auto industry is the stainless steel with current the rapiddest development coils board use a field, railroad of coach, subway, high speed carried a tool to use stainless steel extensively also to coil with the public traffic such as the car board. Use high strenth stainless steel to coil board the structure can reduce production bodywork greatly tare weight, enhance bodywork structural intensity, coil with stainless steel board the face plate that makes car and adornment component can decrease maintain cost. In addition, stainless steel coils board because have,still fight chloric ion to corrode the with the advantage of heat-resisting exhaust system that is used at the car. Now, the country such as Japan, United States, Sweden already used stainless steel to coil in great quantities board car. Japan begins to popularize from 80 time, at present its stainless steel coils board train car already was amounted to 60% . Car industry is stainless steel coils board development key of application.
2, home appliance: Industry of Chinese home appliance is stainless steel coils board the big market with potential application. Stainless steel coils board using generous is liner of housing of inside and outside of the bravery inside the canister inside automatic washing machine, water heater, microwave oven, freezer, and use ferrite stainless steel to coil more board. The microwave oven that our country produces, freezer, air conditioning, TV already is the exit product that competition ability has on the world.
3, water industry: Stainless steel coils board rise in year after year in water industry demand, water is in its store the problem that pollution suffers in carry process already took seriously increasingly for people. Carry out a proof in great quantities, stainless steel coils board the preparation that is water, keep in storage, carry, purify, the water industry such as desalt of second birth, seawater is optimal select material.
4, bldg. : Stainless steel coils board one of domains with the earliest application. The respect is decorated in the building, current, stainless steel coils board the wall outside basically be being used in high-level architectural, indoor the bag Fu of the column outside reaching, the adornment of inside and outside such as wall of window of wainscot of armrest, floor, elevator, door, act reachs component part. Coil via the stainless steel of finishing, chromatic, film board, solved the easy occurrence fingerprint problem after feeling, make stainless steel coils board applied limits expands further.
5, environmental protection industry: Industrial waste gas, rubbish and sewage disposal device need to use stainless steel to coil board make. The establishment such as rubbish incinerator, useless water treatment needs to use high-powered stainless steel to coil plank makings is made.
6, industrial establishment: The stainless steel that establishment of developed country industry uses coils board scale can arrive commonly 15%-20% , applied proportion of home is very at present small still. Chemical industry, petrifaction, chemical fibber, papermaking, food, medicine, the sources of energy (cell of nuclear report, fire report, fuel) wait for a domain to need stainless steel to coil board. In addition, existing entrance equipment already entered overhaul period. Coil as homebred stainless steel board produce those who taste quality to raise the development that reachs special brand product, stainless steel of respect of domestic industry establishment will coil henceforth board application will year after year increases.
Summary:
Of raw material cost fall considerably move anticipate for stainless steel the price is reduced let a space, and quality more the stainless steel goods with actor, cheaper price will be replaced gradually existing relatively inferior position goods, enlarge stainless steel demand to use the market thereby. Use market potential mining as domestic stainless steel, prospective stainless steel is overall demand is driving still.
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